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Published: American Economic Review, 2020

Brendan Daley, Brett Green | Working Paper No. 00022-00

Bargaining and News

We study a bargaining model in which a buyer makes frequent offers to a privately informed seller, while gradually learning about the seller’s type from “news.” We show that the buyer’s ability to leverage this information to extract more surplus...

Uploaded: Mar 15, 2017

Efstathios Avdis | Working Paper No. 00013-00

Information Tradeoffs in Dynamic Financial Markets

In dynamic financial markets the stochastic supply of risky assets has a significant informational role. Contrary to static models, where it acts as "noise," in dynamic markets stochastic supply contains information about risk premiums. Acquiring private dividend information helps investors...

Uploaded: Mar 15, 2017

Efstathios Avdis, Efstathios Avdis, Efstathios Avdis, Masahiro Watanabe, Masahiro Watanabe | Working Paper No. 00019-00

Rational-expectations whiplash

We present a financial market with investors who have nested private information. Small perturbations of price informativeness, originating from fat-finger errors or algorithmic glitches of well-informed investors, can trigger an oscillating shock throughout the economy that destabilizes the feedback loop...

Uploaded: Feb 1, 2017

Marcus Opp | Working Paper No. 00021-00

Bank capital and the composition of credit

We propose a general equilibrium framework to analyze the cross-sectional distribution of credit and its exposure to shocks to the financial system, such as changes to bank capital, capital requirements, and interest rates. We characterize how over- and underinvestment in...

Uploaded: Jan 6, 2017

Hengjie Ai, Ravi Bansal, Ravi Bansal | Working Paper No. 00009-00

Risk Preferences and the Macro Announcement Premium

The paper develops a theory for equity premium around macroeconomic announcements. Stock returns realized around pre-scheduled macroeconomic announcements, such as the employment report and the FOMC statements, account for 55% of the market equity premium during the 1961-2014 period, and...

Uploaded: Dec 30, 2016

Hongda Zhong | Working Paper No. 00011-00

A Dynamic Model of Optimal Creditor Dispersion

Firms often choose to raise capital from multiple creditors even though doing so may lead to inefficient liquidation caused by coordination failure. Potential coordination failure can, however, improve a firm’s incentive to repay its debt, thus increasing its debt capacity....