Papers

Search icon
preloader results

Student Loans and Labor Supply Incentives

Uploaded: Feb 17, 2026

Gustavo Manso, Alejandro Rivera, Hui (Grace) Wang, Han Xia

We develop a dynamic household finance model showing that student loans --  non-dischargeable in the U.S. bankruptcy -- alleviate the well-documented debt overhang in labor supply decisions. Non-dischargeability mutes opportunities for households to strategically reduce labor supply at the expense...

Optimal Contracting with Aspirational Utility

Uploaded: Feb 17, 2026

Alejandro Rivera, Fernando Zapatero, Hongda Zhong

This paper characterizes the optimal contract when the agent is endowed with aspirational utility. Our analysis reveals that effort and aspirations act as complements: the principal utilizes aspirational ``boosters'' to induce local risk-loving behavior, reducing the welfare costs of incentives...

The nonstationarity-complexity tradeoff in return prediction

Uploaded: Feb 17, 2026

Agostino Capponi

We study machine learning models for stock return prediction in non-stationary environments
and identify a fundamental nonstationarity–complexity tradeoff: more complex models reduce
misspecification error but require longer training windows that exacerbate non-stationarity.
We address this tension with a novel tournament-based model selection procedure...

Tech-Driven Intermediation in the Originate-to-Distribute Model

Uploaded: Feb 11, 2026

Zhiguo He

This paper develops a general equilibrium model to examine the role of information technology when intermediaries facilitate the origination and distribution of assets given information asymmetry. Information technology measures the informativeness of asset-quality signals received by intermediaries, who purchase assets...

Markets for Price Risk

Uploaded: Feb 1, 2026

Baiyang Han, Junyi Hu, Anthony Lee Zhang

Financial derivatives, such as futures, options, and swaps, are not contracts on exogenous states of the world, as in Arrow (1964): their payoffs depend on the endogenous market prices of certain goods. How well do markets for price risk approximate...

Voting choice

Uploaded: Jan 13, 2026

Andrey Malenko, Nadya Malenko

Traditionally, fund managers cast votes on behalf of fund investors. Recently, there is a shift toward "pass-through voting," with funds offering investors a choice: delegate votes to the fund or vote themselves. We develop a framework to study the implications...