Papers
Student Loans and Labor Supply Incentives
Uploaded: Feb 17, 2026
We develop a dynamic household finance model showing that student loans -- non-dischargeable in the U.S. bankruptcy -- alleviate the well-documented debt overhang in labor supply decisions. Non-dischargeability mutes opportunities for households to strategically reduce labor supply at the expense...
Optimal Contracting with Aspirational Utility
Uploaded: Feb 17, 2026
This paper characterizes the optimal contract when the agent is endowed with aspirational utility. Our analysis reveals that effort and aspirations act as complements: the principal utilizes aspirational ``boosters'' to induce local risk-loving behavior, reducing the welfare costs of incentives...
The nonstationarity-complexity tradeoff in return prediction
Uploaded: Feb 17, 2026
We study machine learning models for stock return prediction in non-stationary environments
and identify a fundamental nonstationarityācomplexity tradeoff: more complex models reduce
misspecification error but require longer training windows that exacerbate non-stationarity.
We address this tension with a novel tournament-based model selection procedure...
Tech-Driven Intermediation in the Originate-to-Distribute Model
Uploaded: Feb 11, 2026
This paper develops a general equilibrium model to examine the role of information technology when intermediaries facilitate the origination and distribution of assets given information asymmetry. Information technology measures the informativeness of asset-quality signals received by intermediaries, who purchase assets...
Markets for Price Risk
Uploaded: Feb 1, 2026
Financial derivatives, such as futures, options, and swaps, are not contracts on exogenous states of the world, as in Arrow (1964): their payoffs depend on the endogenous market prices of certain goods. How well do markets for price risk approximate...
Voting choice
Uploaded: Jan 13, 2026
Traditionally, fund managers cast votes on behalf of fund investors. Recently, there is a shift toward "pass-through voting," with funds offering investors a choice: delegate votes to the fund or vote themselves. We develop a framework to study the implications...